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FX Blueprint: Italian Job

May 31, 2018
Once more, Europe is becoming messy. We did not expect politics to turn so negative this year. The Italians face a difficult task of restoring investor confidence, and Italy is too important to ignore. But European volatility does not translate into US positivity; we believe the underlying dollar outlook remains negative, and the US midterms will add to political noise. Beyond the dollar, volatility breeds opportunity, and we identify numerous trades in currency crosses that should not be sensitive to messy American or European politics. [more]

More documents contained in "Thematic Research"

70 (61-70)
April 12, 2018
67
Emerging Markets and the Global Economy in the Month Ahead:
Although EM's upturn is in early stages across many emerging economies and could be sustained for a couple of years in many others, EM's "rally cycle" is already four years long in hard currency debt and its extension hinges crucially on global growth acceleration. [more]
7.6.3