Emerging Markets / Country Risk
The Emerging Markets team analyses political and economic developments in Asia, Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Latin America. Our focus is on structural, long-term trends as well as on the importance of emerging markets for global financial markets. As part of Global Risk Analysis we are Deutsche Bank's centre of competence for sovereign risk-related issues.
In focus
China-EU relations: Gearing up for growth
The recently announced plans for a free trade agreement between China and the EU are momentous. China is the EU’s No. 1 supplier of goods and its third-largest export market. In turn, the EU is China’s largest trading partner. Going by current trends, EU-China annual bilateral trade could grow close to 1.5 times in a decade’s time. Not only goods but also services trade has large potential to grow. Chinese investment into the EU is still in its infancy but is likely to increase and become more broad-based, covering a wider range of industries and countries across Europe. New dynamism is expected from a bilateral investment agreement currently in negotiation and rising interest of Chinese investors in European companies, as shown by our compilation of Chinese M&A deals vis-à-vis the EU and Germany. Plenty of headroom exists for greater use of RMB in bilateral trade and investment relations. A note of caution concerns the risk of trade disputes which is unlikely to be removed in the near term. [more]
Spotlight on Germany
 
 
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Frontier country reports
Snapshot of key strengths and weaknesses of small Emerging Markets 
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