Cities

The world’s face is constantly changing and these changes are very often the result of human activity. Urbanisation of the world is one such major transformation; most importantly, it has been ongoing for ten thousand years.
Over 3.3 billion people are city dwellers today; for the first time ever, more people are living in urban areas than in rural areas. This trend towards urbanisation will not end in the next few years, as the reasons behind urban expansion persist.
However, there are not only strongly growing cities. In the industrialised countries, especially regions with poorer economic prospects are witnessing the decline of their cities. Demographic trends there suggest that more cities will have to expect falling numbers of inhabitants in future.
What will the next few decades bring? To what extent will megacities shape our lives? What challenges will people and institutions in the megacities face? How can we impact this process of shrinking? Where are attractive locations for investment in real estate?
For further reference see also URBAN AGE , an exciting series of conferences organised by the Alfred Herrhausen Society together with the London School of Economics . At the URBAN AGE conferences experts discuss the key problems of agglomerations. Significant insights and first solutions have been presented in a major publication.

Current study
German industry: Upswing losing some momentum
Manufacturing has recovered from the severe recession more quickly than expected. However, the uptrend is already tailing off: for 2010 we expect an increase in output of 12%. In 2011, output looks set to fall to around 4%, despite a high statistical overhang, because the macroeconomic risks in major export destinations are currently on the increase again. The sharp increase in capacity utilisation should not blind our eyes to the fact that many companies still require another (normal) year of growth in order to return to their old levels of output. If this does not materialise – because of insufficient demand stimuli from the US or Asia – insolvencies are likely to rise significantly once again. [more]
Special study
Global Metro Monitor: the path to economic recovery
The Brookings Institution in Washington and LSE Cities in London have jointly unveiled a new report on the development of 150 cities around the world during and shortly after the economic recession. Deutsche Bank Research contributed to the content of report and the Alfred Herrhausen Society provided financial support. The report’s most important findings can be viewed on the Brookings Institution website and in the final report. A very clear shift in economic standing is taking place from the established markets (Europe and North America) to the new growth centres in Asia and Latin America. [more]
 
Cities
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