European Policy Research
In this section you find analyses and commentaries on European (and especially German) economic and fiscal policy. Particular attention is devoted to the institutional development of the EU, above all monetary union, and its individual policy areas.
Talking Point
Migration boom continued in 2014, but calls remain for policy action
Germany was an attractive destination for migrants in 2014 for the fifth year in a row. The net migration balance climbed again by roughly 20% on the year and clearly exceeded the 500,000 mark for the first time since 1992. Roughly 1.4 million persons immigrated to Germany, the second highest total in the last 65 years (1992: 1.5 million). Since the beginning of the sovereign debt crisis in the eurozone in 2010 a net 1.7 million persons have migrated to Germany, so despite a shrinking domestic population the total population has expanded by approximately half a million. [more]
Chart in focus
Research Briefing
Debate on free movement: Does the EU need new rules on social security co-ordination?
In the EU there is ongoing debate about so-called "social benefit tourism". Not only supporters of populist parties, but also broader sections of the population say that the current rules on free movement and coordination of social security systems virtually invite people from southern, central and eastern Europe to migrate into the social security systems of more prosperous partner countries and thus overstrain these systems. Reforms should, at the very least, aim at making the current law less contestable and easier for national authorities to apply. Much argues in favour of taking a generally more restrictive approach. The closer coordination of the social security systems sought in various quarters is not suitable as a driver of European integration. [more]
In focus
ECJ accepts OMT: 6 Questions, 6 Answers
On Tuesday the European Court of Justice (ECJ) has presented its final decision on the question whether Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) by the European Central Bank (ECB) are legally compatible with the EU treaties. The judgment is a reaction to a request for preliminary ruling by the German Constitutional Court (GCC) dating from February 2014. The judgment of the ECJ will have implications for the final ruling of the GCC on the OMT case which we will expect for the second half of the year. [more]
EU Monitor
Privatisation in the euro area: Governments should grasp opportunities
As a major element on the new reform agenda for Greece stipulated at the latest eurozone summit in Brussels privatisation has become an important issue for the southern European country. However, privatisation should be a topic for other governments in the euro area, too. Privatisation can generate substantial receipts for the public purse, and it opens up the prospect of increased efficiency in the economy. In several countries the potential for privatisations is by no means exhausted. [more]
Current Issue
Focus Germany: Inflation moving higher, despite subdued core inflation
While the core inflation rate has remained relatively stable since 2011 at an average of slightly above 1% yoy the oil price slump is the main reason for the temporary decline in consumer prices at the start of 2015. However, the oil price rise of some 30% since January and the stabilisation of the EUR exchange rate sent the German inflation rate out of negative territory after just one month and then made it accelerate to 0.7% yoy recently. We therefore expect slightly stronger increases in consumer prices of 0.5% this year and 2.0% in 2016. With our forecast the risks are more pronounced to the downside. The oil price might rise more slowly than expected on account of the global oversupply. In addition, the EUR/USD has now stabilised at above 1.10 after hitting its low in mid-April. Our forecast assumes EUR/USD parity by year-end. [more]
29.06.2015
GDP growth, inflation, view from Berlin
01.06.2015
Revised GDP growth, Construction investment, View from Berlin
30.04.2015
Financial situation of German households; View from Berlin
Spotlight on Germany
 
 
Publications
Articles on economic policy appear in the following periodicals: 
SMEs
Dataflash Eurozone
    European elections 2014
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