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Marion Laboure

52 Dokumente
    
25. April 2023

The Future of Payments: Series 4 - Part III. Bye-bye cash, hello digital payments

Region:
International
Thema:
Digital
Autor:
Cassidy Ainsworth-Grace, Marion Laboure, Nejati Nooshin
Corporate Bank Research
2
We dig into how the world of payments is moving away from cash towards digital payments. This structural shift from cash to digital payments is expected to continue in 2023 with further evolution of digital IDs and digital wallets. Amid a macro slowdown, we expect financial solutions offered by non-financial firms, such as embedded financing, to play a major role in the further adoption of digital payments. [mehr]
21. März 2023

AI & The Five Ws: Why, What, Who, When, Where?

Region:
International
Autor:
Adrian Cox, Marion Laboure
Thematic Research
4
Artificial Intelligence arguably came to life for the general population with the release of the accessible chatbot ChatGPT three months ago, but the technology and opportunities likely remain a mystery to many. Following March 14, 2023 release of GPT-4, an update to the technology underlying ChatGPT, we publish a new Chartbook on Artificial Intelligence and address the five Ws: Why, What, Who, When, and Where. [mehr]
27. Februar 2023

The Future of Payments: Series 4 - Part I. Digital assets: The end of magical thinking?

Region:
International
Thema:
Digital
Autor:
Cassidy Ainsworth-Grace, Marion Laboure
Corporate Bank Research
5
In the first part of series 4 of our Future of Payments series, Marion Laboure and Cassidy Ainsworth-Grace take a look at how the end of a rare macroeconomic environment, featuring near-zero interest rates, stimulus packages, and excess liquidity, could clean the market of bad actors, much like the dot-com bubble did two decades ago. [mehr]
21. Februar 2023

Der Geldhahn wird weiter zugedreht

Region:
International
Autor:
Cassidy Ainsworth-Grace, Jim Reid, Marion Laboure
Weltwirtschaftlicher Ausblick
6
Nach mehreren Prognosesenkungen hat weltweit seit der Jahreswende wieder ein Aufschwung eingesetzt. In Europa z.B. haben sich die Erdgaspreise in den vergangenen Monaten mehr als halbiert, und eine Rezession im Euroraum steht unseres Erachtens nicht mehr unmittelbar bevor. Derweil hat China nach der Pandemie eine raschere Öffnung als weithin erwartet durchgeführt, weshalb wir unsere Prognosen nach oben korrigiert haben. Und in den USA, für die wir weiterhin eine Rezession in H2 prognostizieren, ist die Arbeitslosenquote auf einen 53-Jahres-Tiefstand gefallen. [mehr]
10. Februar 2023

The Taps Still Tightening

Region:
International
Autor:
Cassidy Ainsworth-Grace, Jim Reid, Marion Laboure
The House View - Snapshot
7
After a succession of forecast downgrades, the global economy has turned a corner since the end of last year. For instance, natural gas prices in Europe have more than halved over the last couple of months, and we no longer expect an imminent Euro Area recession. In the meantime, China’s post-Covid reopening has proceeded faster than many thought possible, leading to similar upgrades in our forecasts. Even in the US, where we continue to call for a recession in H2, unemployment has reached a 53-year low. [mehr]
17. November 2022

The Future of Work – Learning from Sport Part II. Better together

Region:
International
Autor:
Cassidy Ainsworth-Grace, Marion Laboure
Corporate Bank Research
10
The 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar is about to start, so it is a good time to reflect on the relationship between the sporting world’s Greatest of All Time and remote work. The increasing popularity of remote work has disrupted traditional models of business and employment. There are shifting views of what work will look like in the future, so it is a topic that cannot be ignored. But, to make the most out of flexible remote work now, workers can learn from top athletes. [mehr]
14. Oktober 2022

Schiffbruch

Region:
International
Autor:
Henry Allen, Jim Reid, Marion Laboure
Weltwirtschaftlicher Ausblick
11
Die Aussichten für die Wirtschaft und die Märkte haben sich seit der Juni-Ausgabe unseres Weltwirtschaftlichen Ausblicks merklich verschlechtert. An den Rentenmärkten platzt eine historische Blase, an den Aktienmärkten findet eine Korrektur statt, wie sie nur einmal pro Generation vorkommt, und die Flucht in den USD hält an. Wir haben als Erste eine Rezession in den USA zum Jahresende 2023 prognostiziert – diese Erwartung ist inzwischen Konsens. Auch für den Euroraum bzw. Deutschland erwarten wir für 2023 eine Kontraktion um mindestens 2% bzw. 3%. [mehr]
29. September 2022

Shipwrecked

Region:
International
Autor:
Henry Allen, Jim Reid, Marion Laboure
The House View - Snapshot
12
Since our last House View in June, the economic and market outlook has deteriorated dramatically. We are in the midst of a historic bursting of the bond bubble, and a once-in-a-generation equity revaluation, combined with a sustained flight into the USD. The latter has been driven by geopolitical consideration as well as the failure of the ECB and the BoE to act as decisively on inflation as the Fed. Our street-leading prediction of a US recession by end-2023 has become increasingly mainstream, and we also expect the Euro Area and German economy to contract by at least -2% and -3% respectively next year. [mehr]
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