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1646 (121-130)
23. März 2021
The federal government will present a supplementary budget for 2021, which would be the third supplementary budget over the past year. The volume could reach as much as EUR 60 bn (1.7% of GDP). As a result, 2021 net federal borrowing could possibly rise to as much as EUR 240 bn (6.8% of GDP), an all-time high in German history. We still stick with our 5.9% headline deficit forecast for the general government level as we doubt that all the money will be spent. This implies a structural deficit of nearly 5% of GDP this year (2020: -1.8% of GDP). [mehr]
22. März 2021
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The coronavirus pandemic has caused a surge in public debt and highlights the need to tackle sovereign risk on bank balance sheets, which remains a threat to the stability of the Banking Union. Euro-area banks hold bonds and have granted loans to their domestic sovereigns worth a combined EUR 2.1 tr, equalling 6.2% of total assets. Among the largest countries, banks in Italy have the highest exposure relative to capital (194%), followed by Spain (105%), whereas it is much lower in Germany (67%) and France (60%). Sovereign risk must be mitigated to finalise the Banking Union but this will require some honest acknowledgements by supervisors and entail restrictions for banks and politicians. [mehr]
22. März 2021
Das Eigenheim ist zum Gegenstand klimapolitischer Diskussionen geworden. Die Diskussion, ob und in welchem Ausmaß Eigenheime stärker zum Klimawandel beitragen oder mit einem höheren Ressourcenverbrauch einhergehen als Wohnungen in Mehrfamilienhäusern, lenkt zum einen von der eigentlichen energie- und klimapolitischen Herausforderung im Gebäudesektor ab. Zum anderen zeigt sie, dass klimapolitische Forderungen häufig nicht zur Lebenswirklichkeit bzw. zu den Konsumwünschen von Millionen von Menschen passen. [mehr]
17. März 2021
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Bitcoin’s market cap of $1 trillion makes it too important to ignore. Big players who buy and sell bitcoins have considerable market-moving power. As long as asset managers and companies continue to enter the market, Bitcoin prices could continue to rise. But bitcoin transactions and tradability are still limited. And the real debate is whether rising valuations alone can be reason enough for bitcoin to evolve into an asset class, or whether its illiquidity is an obstacle. Bitcoin’s value will continue to rise and fall depending on what people believe it is worth. This is sometimes called the Tinkerbell Effect — a recognised economic term stating that the more people believe in something, the likelier it is to happen. [mehr]
16. März 2021
Noch brummt der deutsche Wohnungsmarkt und das fundamentale Umfeld bleibt noch mehrere Jahre bestehen. Doch im Jahr 2024 könnte der Zyklus enden oder zumindest einen Dämpfer hinnehmen müssen. Im neuen Podzept erklärt Jochen Möbert, was ihn zu dieser Annahme gebracht hat. [mehr]
15. März 2021
In yesterday’s regional elections in Baden-Wuerttemberg (BW) and Rhineland-Palatinate (RP), the CDU achieved disappointing results and thus faces a dismal start into this election year. The CDU was up against two extremely popular prime ministers who appeal to voters across the political camps. However, nondescript CDU candidates, allegations around mask procurement deals and growing discontent about pandemic management are behind the heavy defeats. The new CDU party leader Armin Laschet was not able to change the party’s fortunes. Nevertheless, Laschet’s chances for Merkel’s succession remain intact, in our view. While another six months until federal elections is a long time in politics, the state elections serve as a reminder that a conservative-green coalition which is the consensus so far, is not a foregone conclusion. With Merkel’s bonus for the CDU/CSU fading, vaccine problems continuing and the surprising revival of the Liberals, other coalition options for the Greens might open up. [mehr]
15. März 2021
Participants: Schroders, Union Investment, and Amundi Funds
Moderators: Debbie Jones, Global Head of ESG, Company Research & Tobias Fischer, Research Sales & ESG Coordinator

The session addressed how firms are integrating ESG into their investment strategies. Discussion topics included accountability to an ESG process, views on corporate disclosure & data collection, proprietary systems and ratings, alignment with UN SDGs and exclusionary processes. The discussion with Amundi addressed specific considerations and practices for an ESG Portfolio Manager having a special focus on ecology.
From the dbAccess ESG Conference March 2021.
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15. März 2021
Presenter: Annelisa Grigg, Director and Sustainability Advisor at Global Balance Ltd
Moderator: Idil Dagdelen, Research Sales & ESG Coordinator

This session highlighted how biodiversity loss will have a significant impact on society and business and fundamentally impact on the ability to deliver the UN Sustainable Development Goals. Reporting and disclosure standards for companies on biodiversity are lacking at the moment, but that is likely to change. While several biodiversity policies and legislation exist today, there are important international and regional frameworks currently under development. From the dbAccess ESG Conference March 2021. [mehr]
15. März 2021
Participants: UN PRI/ European Chair of Sustainable Finance, Partner at Arabesque S-Ray
Moderator: Trisha Taneja, Head of ESG Advisory, Deutsche Bank

In this session, Nathan Fabian, Chair of the European Platform on Sustainable Finance and Dr. Todd Bridges, Global Head of Sustainable Investing & ESG Research at Arabesque S-Ray, discussed key regulatory topics impacting capital flow. The panel discussed the regulatory landscape in Europe and the US as it pertains to ESG, how upcoming regulations are impacting investors and issuers, and ultimately influencing capital flow and business strategy. From the dbAccess ESG Conference March 2021. [mehr]
15. März 2021
Participants: T. Rowe Price, Invesco, and Federated Hermes
Moderator: Brian Bedell, US Asset Manager Research Analyst

This session was conducted as a panel with Sustainability leaders at T. Rowe Price, Invesco, and Federated Hermes. It covered panelists’ view on the success and challenges of integrating ESG considerations within their investment processes across a wide & diverse array of investment strategies, how third-party ESG data is used with development of proprietary analytics in combination with active management to generate alpha, what the prospects are for ESG demand to accelerate in the US and what types of investment products & solutions are developing the most demand. From the dbAccess ESG Conference March 2021. [mehr]
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