With the rapid growth in AI, and the likes of ChatGPT taking the world by storm in recent months, we have seen renewed fears that human labour will be increasingly replaced over the years ahead. But this refrain has been heard regularly before over the last several centuries. [more]

Mallika Sachdeva shares some quick takeaways about why she thinks that this time it's different for Asian currencies compared to the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 when Asian currencies came under extreme stress. [more]

Banks’ domestic sovereign exposures in the euro area ballooned during the financial and European debt crises but have markedly declined since then. Still, with 5% of total assets and 76% of capital, they remain considerable and a risk on bank balance sheets, especially in light of the general exemption from capital requirements and concentration limits. Risk parameters differ between national banking markets, and the home bias remains high, at around 80%, as banks hardly diversify into other euro-area debt. The cross-country differences make it difficult for policymakers to agree on a fully mutualized European Deposit Insurance Scheme and thus complete the Banking Union. [more]

The new edition of our Germany: Economic Chartbook provides an overview of key data on current economic developments. The winter dip in the German economy has not been as severe as feared. Nevertheless, the picture at the current margin is rather divergent. While headline inflation is likely to subside further, core inflation might prove sticky. Private household demand is still under pressure, despite strong inflation-related one-off payments. Corporate lending slows after a long boom. Overall, we expect only a shallow recovery for the rest of the year, so German GDP is likely to stagnate on average in 2023. Last but not least, we also update you on our recent thematic research on the German housing market, progress with the energy transition and the German position on the recent EU fiscal rules proposal. [more]

Please watch Deutsche Bank senior US economist Brett Ryan break down the latest US consumer price index report with Americas communications head Brian Blackstone. [more]

Brett Ryan, senior US economist discusses his key take-aways. [more]

As usual, all eyes were on the Federal Reserve when it met on interest rates Wednesday. But unlike other meetings over the past year, there was a different twist this time: has the central bank reached the end of rate increases after an aggressive tightening cycle? Please watch Deutsche Bank’s chief US economist Matthew Luzzetti break down the decision, and path forward, with our Americas communications head Brian Blackstone. [more]

We showed in March that, in Germany, house prices have kept up with inflation during periods with high inflation and that, over decades, house prices have increased even faster than consumer prices. Here, we extend the analysis to other countries. [more]

In our series ‘Making Sense of Space’ we discuss various aspects of the Space ecosystem. This episode will focus on Earth Observation (EO) which involves gathering information about the planet’s physical, chemical and biological systems to deliver actionable insights. In particular, we go over how radio frequency data can be used to analyze marine, aviation, and weather patterns. [more]

We dig into how the world of payments is moving away from cash towards digital payments. This structural shift from cash to digital payments is expected to continue in 2023 with further evolution of digital IDs and digital wallets. Amid a macro slowdown, we expect financial solutions offered by non-financial firms, such as embedded financing, to play a major role in the further adoption of digital payments. [more]